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Spring drought in the Northeast - maybe, maybe not

A spring drought is too early to predict. But abnormally dry Northeast weather has been the rule so far, despite spotty downpours.

John Vogel, Editor, American Agriculturist

April 28, 2015

2 Min Read

There's good news and not-so-good news for the Northeast weather. Dry weather has allowed spring tillage and cold crop operations to crank up early in much of New England, according to the latest Northeast reports from USDA's National Ag Statistics Service. Maybe too early, as suggested by last week's return visit of Jack Frost.

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But New England, in particular, has been abnormally dry through mid-April, according to National Drought Mitigation Center. That's also true for much of New York State and parts of Pennsylvania, as shown on the U.S.Drought Monitor website. The reports are produced by a partnership between the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, regional climate centers, USDA, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Data from the Northeast Regional Climate Center showed that areas closer to the coast have seen less than 50% of normal precipitation during the first two weeks of April. But during the last two weeks, two to four inches of rain "dried up" the abnormal dryness rating in north-central Pennsylvania and south-central New York.

Week-to-week soil moisture most indicative
You're well aware that the seasonal ebb and flow of surface and subsurface soil moisture levels make or break crop production and pasture quality. And since April is usually the wettest of the growing season, it doesn't mean much at this stage. What really matters in the week-to-week change.

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Here's a quick peek at what USDA's National Ag Statistics Service reporters in the Northeast were seeing last week for a combination of surface and subsurface moisture:
• Delaware: 43% to 53% adequate; 34% to 39% surplus
• Maryland: 70% to 79% adequate; 34% to 39% surplus
• New England: 52% to 55% adequate; 45% surplus
• New Jersey: 85% to 86% adequate; 10% to 13% surplus
• Pennsylvania: 75% to 85% adequate; 8% to 18% surplus

About the Author(s)

John Vogel

Editor, American Agriculturist

For more than 38 years, John Vogel has been a Farm Progress editor writing for farmers from the Dakota prairies to the Eastern shores. Since 1985, he's been the editor of American Agriculturist – successor of three other Northeast magazines.

Raised on a grain and beef farm, he double-majored in Animal Science and Ag Journalism at Iowa State. His passion for helping farmers and farm management skills led to his family farm's first 209-bushel corn yield average in 1989.

John's personal and professional missions are an integral part of American Agriculturist's mission: To anticipate and explore tomorrow's farming needs and encourage positive change to keep family, profit and pride in farming.

John co-founded Pennsylvania Farm Link, a non-profit dedicated to helping young farmers start farming. It was responsible for creating three innovative state-supported low-interest loan programs and two "Farms for the Future" conferences.

His publications have received countless awards, including the 2000 Folio "Gold Award" for editorial excellence, the 2001 and 2008 National Association of Ag Journalists' Mackiewicz Award, several American Agricultural Editors' "Oscars" plus many ag media awards from the New York State Agricultural Society.

Vogel is a three-time winner of the Northeast Farm Communicators' Farm Communicator of the Year award. He's a National 4-H Foundation Distinguished Alumni and an honorary member of Alpha Zeta, and board member of Christian Farmers Outreach.

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