Farm Futures logo

Bearish funds dump ag

Big specs shift to net short position on corn

Bryce Knorr, Contributing market analyst

August 23, 2019

2 Min Read
market updates
monsitj / ThinkStock

Bearish sentiment flowed through many markets this week and didn’t spare agriculture as bulls are hard to find.

Here’s what funds were up to through Tuesday, August 20, when the CFTC collected data for its latest Commitment of Traders released Friday.


Summer’s over

Big speculators added to bearish bets in crops and livestock this week, driving their net short position to its widest level of the summer. In all, hedge funds sold a net 127,659 contracts while traders using index funds to gain exposure to commodities also liquidated.


Role reversal

Big speculators turned bearish on corn for the first time since prices took off over Memorial Day. Hedge funds sold a net 87,788 contracts to flip from long to a net short position of 70,575 contracts.


Trying to hold

Big speculators continue to big a little bullish one week and a little bearish the next. This was the week for selling, with hedge funds adding 4,575 contracts to their net short position, taking it to a relatively modest 84,563 lots.


Brief bulls

It didn’t take big speculators long to resume bearish ways in the oil market. After just one week with a small net long position, hedge funds turned short again, selling a net 5,209 contracts.


All around

Big speculators made it three for three, selling soybean meal after a brief bout of buying the previous week. Still, hedge funds added only 1,916 lots to their bearish bets on the product.


Last, best hope

Soft red winter wheat was the best part of the wheat complex this summer, the only futures market to avoid new contract lows. But big speculators remained short anyway and they extended bearish bets this week, selling a net 6,298 contracts.


Hanging on

Hard red winter wheat hovered near contract lows all week with rallies constrained by fund selling. Big speculators added 4,111 lots to their net short position, keeping the hammer down.


Bottomless pit

Large traders in Minneapolis this week extended their record bearish bet on spring wheat yet again, adding 1,736 contracts to their net short position.


Bad Timing

Crude oil was choppy this week like the rest of the market, beset by worries over trade and recession. Money managers added $357 million to their net long position, a small amount by Wall Street standards.

About the Author(s)

Bryce Knorr

Contributing market analyst, Farm Futures

Bryce Knorr first joined Farm Futures Magazine in 1987. In addition to analyzing and writing about the commodity markets, he is a former futures introducing broker and Commodity Trading Advisor. A journalist with more than 45 years of experience, he received the Master Writers Award from the American Agricultural Editors Association.

Subscribe to receive top agriculture news
Be informed daily with these free e-newsletters

You May Also Like