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Your summer weather outlook 'depends'

AccuWeather US map shows extreme weather patterns through early summer
LONG-RANGE LOOK: Weather extremes will continue through early summer.
Stormy June weather for northern Corn Belt; drought to continue baking Southern Plains.

In the last two weeks, farmers finally got a "spring break" — suitable weather to power up corn planting across the Corn Belt. But farmers in Southern Plains states got no break in the drought that's been hammering their wheat. Here's a quick region-by-region peek at the summer weather headed toward you, according to AccuWeather meteorologists.

Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
These eastern regions are in for a bit of everything this summer as the weather transitions between hot, humid and stormy. Severe weather could strike the northern Mid-Atlantic and eastern Ohio in June. In July, that risk will shift farther northward.

Summer heat won't be persistent, says long-range forecaster Paul Pastelok. "There's going to be surge later in June," he says. "But it won't stick around the whole."

Expect the number of 90-degree days to average close to normal. But August humidity may be up, which can slow hay drying.

Midwest and Northern Plains
Temperatures are expected to bounce around throughout the summer. But AccuWeather anticipates short-term periods of high heat to blast the region in June, accompanied by severe weather.

"June will be the month for the severe weather in the Northern Plains," Pastelok predicts. "It could linger a bit into July, then take a break before coming back in August." 

Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Gulf Coast
A barrage of showers and thunderstorms are expected to target the Southeast, with Florida set to bounce back from severe drought conditions. "They're going to see some more action across the peninsula throughout the summer, which is good for them," Pastelok says. "I don't see any dry conditions developing like we saw a couple of years ago."

Heavier storms will pose a risk for flooding with the Tennessee Valley and central Gulf Coast facing the greatest threat. Meanwhile, the entire region will be at risk for an early tropical impact, particularly anywhere along the Gulf Coast. If a tropical system impacts the region, it's more likely to be a tropical storm, which would pose a greater risk for flooding rainfall.

Southern Plains
No good weather news for this region. Stifling heat and severe drought will continue to grip the Southern Plains this summer. Pastelok predicts June could end up being one of the top-five hottest on record — bad news for cattlemen and consumers. Beef producers will be forced to spend more on buying feed.

Southwest and California
Heat, drought and high fire threats will also stretch into the Southwest and California. The fire threat will arrive early and then remain high for a good part of the summer before rainfall increases in July and August.

Northwest and Rockies
If there's such a thing as a "typical summer", that's what's likely to play out in this region, according to AccuWeather. Late spring and early summer will remain mostly wet and cool. Transition to warmer and drier summer weather won't arrive until later in the season. As warmth increases in mid-July and August, drought conditions may develop east of the Cascades.

Source: AccuWeather

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