Farm Progress

Incoming Jose to hamper Northeast’s fall harvest

With Northeast growing degree days already significantly behind normal, Hurricane Jose is likely to add to harvest delays.

John Vogel, Editor, American Agriculturist

September 21, 2017

2 Min Read
STORM TO FURTHER DELAY HARVEST: Hurricane Jose is likely to challenge Northeast crop progress even more.AccuWeather

Even if Hurricane Jose doesn’t invade the Northeast’s inlands, it’s likely to pump cloud cover and rainfall into the region and further delay fall harvests. That’s the bottom line of the latest reports from AccuWeather and Cornell University’s ProDairy. And, more may be in store.

As of Friday, Jose was expected to pass within 200 miles of the Northeast coast. But a New England landfall can’t be ruled out, according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski. The exact track and strength of Jose will determine severity of the wind and extent of rainfall.

A hurricane doesn’t need to make landfall to cause significant adverse Northeast effects, he adds. The shape of the coast tends to enhance storm effects and trap ocean water. Gusts to 50 mph are possible from eastern Maryland to Maine and are likely on Cape Cod, Mass.

Should Jose be stronger than a Category 1 hurricane and/or make landfall, more significant effects are likely. A landfall in southeastern New England could cause heavy rain and gusty wind to spread well inland across the Northeast.

Corn maturity already slowed
As if Northeast corn growers didn’t have enough, growing degree day accumulation continued to be below average in August and early September in New York state and points northward. That has slowed corn crop maturation, according to the recent Cornell ProDairy Harvest Outlook report.

Updated 2017 GDD data shows that over the last 50 days, New York is 130 to 190 GDDs behind the average. Given low daily GDD accumulation in late October and early November, and average accumulation in September and October, it’ll take approximately three to four weeks to make up the deficiency. This means that corn silking around Aug. 10 would have a projected harvest date around the second week of November.

Here are three keys for success from Pro-Dairy’s Managing Forage Quality: A Challenging Growing Season webinar:

 Separate fields by those likely to fully mature for silage and those likely to be harvested at an immature stage.

 Identify separate storage areas to store mature (dairy-quality silage) and immature (non-lactating-quality silage).

 When identifying temporary storage sites, consider site drainage, runoff risk and concentrated animal feeding operation guidelines.

About the Author(s)

John Vogel

Editor, American Agriculturist

For more than 38 years, John Vogel has been a Farm Progress editor writing for farmers from the Dakota prairies to the Eastern shores. Since 1985, he's been the editor of American Agriculturist – successor of three other Northeast magazines.

Raised on a grain and beef farm, he double-majored in Animal Science and Ag Journalism at Iowa State. His passion for helping farmers and farm management skills led to his family farm's first 209-bushel corn yield average in 1989.

John's personal and professional missions are an integral part of American Agriculturist's mission: To anticipate and explore tomorrow's farming needs and encourage positive change to keep family, profit and pride in farming.

John co-founded Pennsylvania Farm Link, a non-profit dedicated to helping young farmers start farming. It was responsible for creating three innovative state-supported low-interest loan programs and two "Farms for the Future" conferences.

His publications have received countless awards, including the 2000 Folio "Gold Award" for editorial excellence, the 2001 and 2008 National Association of Ag Journalists' Mackiewicz Award, several American Agricultural Editors' "Oscars" plus many ag media awards from the New York State Agricultural Society.

Vogel is a three-time winner of the Northeast Farm Communicators' Farm Communicator of the Year award. He's a National 4-H Foundation Distinguished Alumni and an honorary member of Alpha Zeta, and board member of Christian Farmers Outreach.

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