Farm Progress

Corn traders edgy over weather

Some in the corn market are talking about the extreme heat and others are talking about the projected rainfall.

Kevin Van Trump, Founder

June 18, 2018

1 Min Read

Corn traders continue to debate U.S. weather. The bulls are talking about the recent extremes in heat and pockets of dry conditions. The bears are pointing to a mid week cool down and more heavy rains that are forecast to cover a larger portion of the corn belt, giving crops in several areas a much needed drink.

From what I'm hearing, big production states like Iowa, Illinois and Nebraska should see good rainfall totals. The question being debated now is what happens the following week and into the first week of July in regards to the ridge that looks to be rebuilding and specifically how it impacts the central to the eastern portions of the corn belt? Bottom-line, nearby weather concerns just don't seem to be enough to trump the negative headlines out of Washington involving trade talk. I suspect if the weather forecast for the later part of June and earlier part of July start showing increased heat and removing some of the moisture, the market will take more serious notice and will respond with additional weather premium.

Until then, I feel like it's going to be tough to get enough bullish interest to turn around the current bearish momentum. As a producer, I'm staying patient. As a spec, I like the thought of being a longer-term bull, so I will be looking to nibble a bit on the deeper breaks in price.  

 

About the Author(s)

Kevin Van Trump

Founder, Farmdirection.com

Kevin is a leading expert in Agricultural marketing and analysis, he also produces an award-winning and world-recognized daily industry Ag wire called "The Van Trump Report." With over 20 years of experience trading professionally at the CME, CBOT and KCBOT, Kevin is able to 'connect-the-dots' and simplify the complex moving parts associated with today's markets in a thought provoking yet easy to read format. With thousands of daily readers in over 40 countries, Kevin has become a sought after source for market direction, timing and macro views associated with the agricultural world. Kevin is a top featured guest on many farm radio programs and business news channels here in the United States. He also speaks internationally to hedge fund managers and industry leading agricultural executives about current market conditions and 'black swan' forecasting. Kevin is currently the acting Chairman of Farm Direction, an international organization assembled to bring the finest and most current agricultural thoughts and strategies directly to the world's top producers. The markets have dramatically changed and Kevin is trying to redefine how those in the agricultural world can better manage their risk and better understand the adversity that lies ahead. 

Subscribe to receive top agriculture news
Be informed daily with these free e-newsletters

You May Also Like