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Tool assesses risk of untimely freeze

Get a handle on the odds for a late spring or early fall freeze with this free online tool.

Tom J. Bechman, Midwest Crops Editor

April 20, 2023

2 Min Read
soybean seedlings emerge from crack in the soil
SAFE? Would these soybeans be hurt by a late spring freeze? A new tool makes it easier to judge the probability of these tricky weather events while you are making crop management decisions. Tom J. Bechman

What are the odds that soybeans planted April 20 will be damaged by a killing freeze? How likely is it that soybeans not planted until June 10 will mature before a killing freeze in the fall?

If you farm long enough, you will face these real-life dilemmas.

“We were able to develop a tool which makes determining the probability of late spring freezes and early fall freezes easier,” says Beth Hall, Indiana state climatologist. The computer aid was developed through the Midwestern Regional Climate Center at Purdue University. Hall is director of the center.

In fact, the Freeze Date Tool puts data related to both late spring and early fall freezes at your fingertips. The data is organized by county for most states in the north-central and Northeast U.S.

Not only can you find average dates for the last spring freeze and first fall freeze, but you also can find actual dates going back several decades for most counties. That’s because the tool allows you to choose and look at both maps and tables, depending upon whether you’re looking for actual data or trends.

“We’ve also included information on length of growing season,” Hall explains. “You can pick which temperature you want the growing season to begin and end with, and then see how many days, on average, you can expect.”

The best way to learn to use the tool is to experiment with it, Hall says. Below is an example that illustrates the type of information you can obtain. The data was obtained using the various functions available on the Freeze Date Tool. Clinton County, Ind., was selected for this example.

To get similar information for your county, simply click on the county on the map.

Here is a summary of fall freeze data for Clinton County:

  • Average date of first 32-degree-F fall freeze (1950-2021): Oct. 13

  • Earliest ever in time period: Sept. 21, 1995

  • Early (10th percentile, only 10% occur earlier): Oct. 1

  • Latest ever in time period: Nov. 10, 2016

  • Late (90th percentile, 90% of time freeze has already occurred by this date): Oct. 28

  • Decadal trend: 1.3 days per year later per decade from 1950s through 2010s

Here is a summary of spring freeze data:

  • Average date of last 32-degree spring freeze: April 22

  • Earliest ever in time period: March 28, 1999

  • Early (10th percentile): April 9

  • Latest ever in time period: May 25, 1961

  • Late (90th percentile): May 6

  • Decadal trend: 1.6 days per year earlier per decade from 1950s through 2010s

Here is a summary of growing season data:

  • Average growing season, based on 32-degree freeze: 172.8 days

  • Shortest growing season ever in time period: 128 days in 1961

  • Short growing season (10th percentile): 151 days

  • Longest growing season ever in time period: 212 days in 1998

  • Long growing season (90th percentile): 193 days

  • Decadal trend: 2.7 days longer growing season per decade from 1950s through 2010s

Read more about:

Weather

About the Author

Tom J. Bechman

Midwest Crops Editor, Farm Progress

Tom J. Bechman became the Midwest Crops editor at Farm Progress in 2024 after serving as editor of Indiana Prairie Farmer for 23 years. He joined Farm Progress in 1981 as a field editor, first writing stories to help farmers adjust to a difficult harvest after a tough weather year. His goal today is the same — writing stories that help farmers adjust to a changing environment in a profitable manner.

Bechman knows about Indiana agriculture because he grew up on a small dairy farm and worked with young farmers as a vocational agriculture teacher and FFA advisor before joining Farm Progress. He works closely with Purdue University specialists, Indiana Farm Bureau and commodity groups to cover cutting-edge issues affecting farmers. He specializes in writing crop stories with a focus on obtaining the highest and most economical yields possible.

Tom and his wife, Carla, have four children: Allison, Ashley, Daniel and Kayla, plus eight grandchildren. They raise produce for the food pantry and house 4-H animals for the grandkids on their small acreage near Franklin, Ind.

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