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What’s the best way to size up opportunity?

Farm leaders must determine which opportunities are worth pursuing.

Darren Frye, CEO

September 7, 2021

3 Min Read
Feet and two arrows painted on floor.
Getty/iStockphoto

One of the biggest jobs the farm leader has is the need to size up different opportunities that arise for the operation.

It’s no secret that the number of opportunities – or different types of side businesses – that the farm could get involved with is basically endless. Think about different specialty crops, growing crops on contract, owning a seed or fertilizer dealership, getting into agronomic services or precision ag, doing livestock contracting of some sort – not to mention the “original” new opportunity for farms: growth in numbers of acres!

It’s the job of the farm leader to ultimately answer the question: What should we invest in, and what should we turn away from? With so many different possibilities surrounding the operation, how can the farm’s leadership go about understanding what to invest time and money in, and what to leave by the wayside?

Can it stand?

One of the biggest pitfalls for farm operations when it comes to new opportunities is that farms can often be pulled into things that the leader or people on the farm enjoy doing most. This becomes an issue if that side business isn’t profitable – which is the whole point of being in business!

For farm leaders to determine whether their operation is supporting side businesses that aren’t profitable by themselves, each side business should have a separate profit and loss statement and balance sheet that’s not mixed with the production side of the farm.

Doing this helps keep from muddying the waters around which aspects of the farm are profitable and whether there’s a side business that’s not standing on its own. Each needs to be able to operate financially as a stand-alone business.

Ask questions first

Here are a few questions to ask yourself and your leadership team to help size up new opportunities.

  • What’s the need in the market that this is meeting, and what is the size of that need? Any business must solve a problem or meet a need out there in the marketplace. Otherwise, you wouldn’t have any customers! Be sure to take time to do a “business study” about the market that you’re entering – who is already offering something similar to what you’re offering (in your local geographical area if that’s where you’ll be mainly doing business)? What’s the current need for this service like? Is there even a need? If you find that there is a need, try to quantify it.

  • Are we already partly set up to do this – or not? Think in terms of equipment, personnel, current expertise level, and so on. What would the cost to initially invest in any necessary equipment, training or additional employees be? The closer you already are in terms of current knowledge held within the operation, equipment, etc – the better.

  • Will this opportunity be financially feasible? Make sure to do some serious number crunching – perhaps with the help of your financial advisor or lender, including projections. How soon will the side business begin generating profit on its own (pay-back period)? Will additional loans be required for start-up costs? Along the way, watch out for any red flags, including the possibility that maybe this is something you should just do for fun, if it’s not feasible to turn it into a profitable business. If the opportunity involves expanding acres, here are two questions we have our farmer clients ask themselves:

    • Will you still have greater than 50% equity after the expansion?

    • Will your working capital be greater than 33% after the expansion?

Watch for market opportunity

Another key area where the farm leader is responsible for watching for opportunity is in the grain and livestock markets. Many farmers say it can be helpful to work with a market advisor who partners with them on marketing plans and decision-making.

You can learn more about working with our advisors or get a free two-week trial of our marketing information service, MarketView Basic, which includes frequent audio and video market updates and commentary at www.waterstreetconsulting.com.

The opinions of the author are not necessarily those of Farm Futures or Farm Progress. 

About the Author

Darren Frye

CEO, Water Street Solutions

Darren Frye grew up on an innovative, integrated Illinois farm. He began trading commodities in 1982 and started his first business in 1987, specializing in fertilizer distribution and crop consulting. In 1994 he started a consulting business, Water Street Solutions to help Midwest farmers become more successful through financial analysis, crop insurance, marketing consulting and legacy planning. The mission of Finance First is to get you to look at spreadsheets and see opportunity, to see your business for what it can be, and to help you build your agricultural legacy.

Visit Water Street Solutions

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