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4 things farm leaders need for decision-making

When uncertainty is at play, here’s where to start.

Darren Frye, CEO

August 30, 2021

3 Min Read
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There’s no shortage of decisions that the farm leader must make for their operation. From making real-time decisions about crops to major purchases to marketing decisions, it can seem like there’s always another big decision around the corner.

The truth is that farms are always operating within a rapidly changing environment – and there’s always going to be some elements of uncertainty. With markets and crop conditions and global political situations constantly changing, it can feel overwhelming to farm leaders who want to make good decisions for their operations.

So, what’s a farm leader to do? The best approach is likely a combination of different key factors to consider together when you’re working to make the best decisions for your own operation. The goal is to reduce and lower uncertainty as much as possible, in as many areas as possible, to help with big decisions.

Four pieces to consider

Here are four key pieces the farm leader can consider when working to make important decisions when there are many factors at play.

  1. Your operation’s numbers. The key thing to help your operation reach financial success is to know and understand your operation’s financials inside and out, and update them regularly as the numbers shift and change. Every decision that you make needs to run through those numbers to see how it will impact the operation. Some key numbers, such as your crop break-evens, need to be updated frequently so you can use them as part of your marketing plans, for example.

  2. The US/global picture. Staying on top of information around what’s happening in the factors that impact agriculture and move the ag markets is also key. It’s true that there’s so much information out there today, and sometimes trying to gather it and make sense of what it all means for your operation can be a big task. You can get a free two week trial of our marketing information service, MarketView Basic, which includes frequent audio and video market updates.

  3. Analyze the right data. The right data or information for the situation will depend greatly on the type of decision the farm leader is making. If you tend to be very analytical, beware of getting stuck in “analysis paralysis” while working with this key piece. However, if you tend to be less of a number cruncher, you may want to devote more time and attention to this part or work more closely with your lender or financial advisor to get a critical look at the numbers, especially for high-dollar decisions.

  4. Check in with your gut. While it’s likely not a good idea to act purely from your intuition or a “gut feeling”, it can be helpful to stop and ask yourself what your gut is telling you. Running decisions through this filter can be a good way to check in with your farm’s values and your personal values as well, to make sure the decision is consistent with them.

Another piece that can be helpful when it comes to marketing decisions is to work with a third-party market advisor who can help tie the pieces together and act as a sounding board. You can learn more or get in touch with us at www.waterstreetconsulting.com.

The opinions of the author are not necessarily those of Farm Futures or Farm Progress. 

About the Author(s)

Darren Frye

CEO, Water Street Solutions

Darren Frye grew up on an innovative, integrated Illinois farm. He began trading commodities in 1982 and started his first business in 1987, specializing in fertilizer distribution and crop consulting. In 1994 he started a consulting business, Water Street Solutions to help Midwest farmers become more successful through financial analysis, crop insurance, marketing consulting and legacy planning. The mission of Finance First is to get you to look at spreadsheets and see opportunity, to see your business for what it can be, and to help you build your agricultural legacy.

Visit Water Street Solutions

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