Farm Futures logo

Big speculators were mixed when dust settled from USDA report

Bryce Knorr, Contributing market analyst

April 12, 2019

2 Min Read
maciek905/Thinkstock

USDA had mixed news for the grain market in its monthly supply and demand report on Tuesday. Not surprisingly, the flow of money from investors and speculators reflected the divergence.

Here’s what funds were up to through Tuesday, April 9, when the CFTC collected data for its latest Commitment of Traders.

041219TrackingTheFunds770.jpg

Split decision

Big speculators covered some of their bearish bets in grain futures into the USDA reports and added to long positions in hogs and cotton. The result was a reduction of 16,716 contracts from the hedge funds’ net short position.

041219COTCorn770.jpg

Wipe out

Big speculators extended their bearish bet in corn to another new record this week, reflecting the agency’s increase in projected 2018 crop carryout. Hedge funds added a net 24,525 contracts to take their net short position to 294,352 lots.

041219COTSoybeans770.jpg

Booking profits

Big speculators took profits on some their soybean shorts this week, covering 6,767 contracts of their modest bearish bet, which is at 84,961 contracts.

041219COTSoybeanOil770.jpg

Sweaty palms

Big specs sold soybean oil this week, reflecting bearish sentiment on world vegetable oil markets. The hedge funds added 1,907 contracts to their small net short position.

041219COTSoybeanMeal770.jpg

Small buyers

Big speculators bought back 3,829 contracts from their small bearish bet on soybean meal this week, taking it to 20,924 lots.

041219COTChicagoWheat770.jpg

Weather cautions

USDA had bearish news for wheat, cutting its forecast for old crop demand. But big speculators covered some of their net short position in SRW anyway, buying back 800 contracts.

041219COTKCWheat770.jpg

Booking out

Big speculators also covered some of their shorts in HRW, taking 3,094 lots off their modest bearish bet.

041219COTMplsWheat770.jpg

Selling again

Large traders were selling in Minneapolis again this week, adding 1,246 contracts to their small net short position as weather forecasts turned dry for the northern Plains, which could get planting back on track.

041219CrudeOilFutures770.jpg

Money loves company

Money managers bought crude oil for the seventh straight week, and this time did it with gusto, adding more nearly $2 billion in crude oil futures and options to their net long position as prices surged above $64 a barrel.

About the Author(s)

Bryce Knorr

Contributing market analyst, Farm Futures

Bryce Knorr first joined Farm Futures Magazine in 1987. In addition to analyzing and writing about the commodity markets, he is a former futures introducing broker and Commodity Trading Advisor. A journalist with more than 45 years of experience, he received the Master Writers Award from the American Agricultural Editors Association.

Subscribe to receive top agriculture news
Be informed daily with these free e-newsletters

You May Also Like