February 13, 2013
You are paying $4 for 1,000 kernels of seed corn, and with great precision, bury them, kernel by kernel, bag after bag after bag. The late Paul Harvey would define that as optimism. But if you are burying that seed in dry soil, should you plant at a higher or lower population than usual? And what about maturity; should it be earlier or later than normal? Your seed corn bill will have at least five digits, and six digits for many larger farms, and by spending that much money, your decision has to reflect more science than optimism.
The lack of soil moisture and questionable growing season weather are the two most pervasive issues keeping Corn Belt farmers awake at night. But with planting time approaching and weather maps not indicating much opportunity for soil moisture recharge, what adjustments should be made when planters are pulled to the field for the 2013 planting season? Iowa State University Corn Production Specialist RogerElmore says there are some reasonable decisions that should be made about population and maturity.
Elmore says farmers with dryer and poorer soils typically plant at lower population rates to compensate for the reduced moisture availability and nutrients. But he asks if that should be the practice where dry soils are a current aberration, rather than the norm? He says apparent pessimism about production potential in 2012 lead Iowa farmers to plant lower populations than had been the trend. So with soil moistures that are more challenging this year than last, what should the population rate be?
Working with a variety of moisture levels in topsoil and subsoil, and with planting populations of 27,000, 32,000 and 37,000, Elmore reported several findings:
The lowest population, 27,000 ppa, always yielded less than the middle population, 32,000 ppa, when soils were wet at planting.
In most cases, if soils are wet at planting, staying with higher seeding rates would improve yields at all locations.
If soils are dry at planting, higher plant populations may reduce yields compared to lower plant populations.
In lower-yielding years, yields resulting from different plant populations are more similar; thus, seed costs associated with higher populations may not be offset by yield increases in lower yielding years when the soil is dry at planting. But the probabilities of greater returns from higher seeding rates in better years would seem to counterbalance those concerns.
And what about maturity? After all, in more southern parts of the Corn Belt, farmers often plant hybrids that are five to 10 or more days earlier than typical adapted hybrids in an effort to avoid late-summer heat and drought. Would that work if it were applied to dry soil?
At all locations, the longest-season hybrids out-yielded shorter-season hybrids in at least three-quarters of the modeled years in each of the respective databases. That was true whether soil profiles were wet at planting or very dry.
At all locations, there was a tendency at higher yield levels for the differential to widen between the full-season hybrid and the very-early hybrid with the full-season hybrid yielding more.
The analysis shows that hybrids of both maturities should be grown, similar to last year’s conclusion. This will spread risk and maximize yields over years. Nevertheless, the data suggest planting most of your acres in what could be considered full-season hybrids for your area.
Between now and planting, there could be an unusual number of good, soaking rains that provide a soil moisture recharge, and drought conditions could be alleviated. However, if that is not the case, Elmore’s research on plant populations and maturities may help make some hard decisions. Lower populations will conserve soil moisture and a diversity of maturities will spread risk.
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