Farm Progress

South Africa forecast to harvest record corn crop in 2017

Committee increases corn estimate 2.2% from June projection.

Bloomberg 1, Content provider

July 27, 2017

2 Min Read
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by Thembisile Dzonzi

South Africa, the continent’s biggest producer of corn, increased its forecast of this year’s record crop after farmers improved their yields.

Growers will probably reap 15.97 million metric tons of corn in the 2017 season, Lusani Ndou, a senior statistician at the Pretoria-based Crop Estimates Committee, said by phone on Tuesday. That’s more than double the 7.78 million tons produced a year earlier when the worst drought since records began more than a century ago reduced the harvest to a nine-year low.

The committee increased its estimate by 2.2% from the 15.63 million tons it projected in June. The forecast is higher than the 15.8 million tons in a Bloomberg survey of analysts and traders last week. The committee expects a harvest of 9.51 million tons of the white variety of corn, used to make a staple food known locally as pap, and 6.46 million tons of yellow corn this season.

The yellow variety for December delivery, the most active contract, gained for the first time in a week, rising 0.6% to 2,006 rand ($155.28) a ton, on the South African Futures Exchange in Johannesburg on Thursday. December-delivery white corn gained as much as 1 percent to 1,892.40 rand.

The forecasts for sunflower-seed, soybeans, groundnuts and sorghum output were left unchanged. Drybean production may be 0.1% higher than previously estimated at 68,525 tons.

Winter Crop 

Farmers will probably plant 498,850 hectares (1.2 million acres) of wheat in 2017, the committee said. That would be 1.9% lower than the 508,365 hectares planted a year earlier, below the estimate in a Bloomberg survey for 502,000 hectares. While South Africa is the sub-Saharan African region’s biggest producer of wheat after Ethiopia, it’s still a net importer of the grain, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture figures.

Farmers will probably plant 87,000 hectares of canola, 28% more than last year, and 98,800 hectares of malting barley, the committee said. 

To contact the reporter on this story: Thembisile Dzonzi in Johannesburg at [email protected]

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Antony Sguazzin at [email protected]

John Viljoen, Dulue Mbachu

© 2017 Bloomberg L.P

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