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Where is USDA Getting Big Corn Yield Numbers?

Where is USDA Getting Big Corn Yield Numbers?

If you're dry and crops are struggling, it may seem ridiculous!

We've heard from many people who believe they will have a good corn harvest. With rains across the middle and parts of the southern half of the state this past two weeks, for the first time in five years we may actually see what soybean genetics can do when given a good growing environment. That's true only if you've received rain.

A few farmers report that the area where they farm is very dry. One says it hasn't rained much in several weeks. Soils are productive there, but lack of rain will hurt.

Related: Certain Things You Find in the Corn Field Are Not a Big Deal

Good yield: Areas that have received rain will likely post good corn yields.

Another reports his yard looks like a wheat field. He has crops a few miles away from his home that have received rain and look better. Then there are farmers who have enough rain, but farm soils with drainage problems. Some of the top end of the yield potential was knocked out early by rains that drowned out areas of the field.

For the most part, the same seems to be true across the Corn Belt, with good crops coming in Illinois and Iowa with a few exceptions, largely for drowned-out spots, here and there.

The early concern may be wet corn at harvest, and perhaps if a few fields planted late will beat frost.

Short-season hybrids were planted at the Farm Progress Show site near Boone, Iowa, yet very few acres, if any, have black-layered for harvest during the show this week. Demonstrations will be limited at best.

Related: Consider Fall Herbicide Applications to Control Tough Weeds

So what's the bottom line? Jim Newman, retired Extension climatologist form Purdue University, had a favorite saying: "Markets don't react on what it looks like outside your back door." Instead they react based on what's happening across broad areas.

Anecdotal reports indicate that despite hiccups here and there, with either too much rain early or not enough rain now, high average corn yields in most states are on the way.


Looking for ways to maximize corn yield? We have a new free report - Maximize Corn Yield Potential. The 32-page report offers a range of insight into ways you can put more bushels in the bin.


TAGS: Soybeans
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