Yesterday, AccuWeather released its predictions for this summer, noting that warmth and dryness will build in the West, worsening California's historical drought. Meanwhile, the South and Gulf Coast will have an abundance of moisture – and bugs (mosquitoes).
In the nation's midsection, severe weather is forecast to continue into summer, with the overall tornado count increasing from last year. In the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, above-normal temperatures will mark a noticeable difference from last year's cooler-than-average summer.
Warmth from central Canada and the northern Plains will flow into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, bringing above-normal temperatures and drier conditions. Expect more 90-degree-plus days.
"I'm not expecting extreme heat," says Paul Pastelok, AccuWeather's long-range forecaster. "But periods of warmer-than-normal temperatures will come and go during summer."
That could be good corn growing weather assuming crops have plenty of moisture. For much of the summer, the central and southern mid-Atlantic will come alive with showers and thunderstorms, adds Pastelok.
Corn pricing weather ahead?
The northern and central Plains and much of the Midwest will face drier and warmer conditions this summer compared to last summer, notes Pastelok. "Drier-than-normal conditions in the winter and for the most part this spring will lead to a drier soil and hotter temperatures. This can put stress on crops for this region."
Southeastern Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, eastern Kansas and Oklahoma may have a shot at dodging this extreme heat with more possibilities for rain. He foresees spotty June thunderstorms, some severe, breaking out in this tornado-prone region.
Mid-summer will feel hot across the Dakotas, Nebraska, Iowa and Minnesota. "They will be dry, and the heat will just build as we go into the summer months, especially June and July," he adds.
Week-to-week soil moisture trend
The ebb and flow of surface and subsurface soil moisture makes or breaks crop production and pasture quality. What really matters in the week-to-week trend. Here's a quick peek at what USDA's National Ag Statistics Service reporters in the Northeast were seeing last week and this week for a combination of surface and subsurface moisture:
Last week: 43% to 53% adequate; 34% to 39% surplus
This week: 44% to 52% adequate; 35% to 41% surplus
Last week: 70% to 79% adequate; 34% to 39% surplus
This week: 80% to 88% adequate; 8% to 15% surplus
Last week: 52% to 55% adequate; 45% surplus
This week: 46% to 48% adequate; 53% to 54% surplus
* New Jersey
Last week: 85% to 86% adequate; 10% to 13% surplus
This week: 84% to 87% adequate; 10% to 11% surplus
Last week: 34% to 43% adequate; 57% to 63% surplus
This week: 42% to 45% adequate; 55% to 56% surplus
Last week: 75% to 85% adequate; 8% to 18% surplus
This week: 80% to 81% adequate; 9% to 15% surplus
Bottom line: No significant soil moisture shift yet.