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Serving: IN

Late fall could be warmer than normal

Late fall could be warmer than normal
Warmer than normal days might lie ahead in late fall for most of Indiana.

According to the latest maps from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, Indiana is expected to experience higher than normal temperatures through November. This means that late fall could be on the warm side.

Before you get too excited, remember what warmer than normal means. For the forecast period, temperatures should average above normal. In this case it boils down to an average of about 0.4 degrees above normal in southwest Indiana to roughly 1.5 degrees above normal in extreme northeast Indiana.

Don't grab your sun tan lotion just yet! Warmer than normal temperatures are forecast for Indiana for late fall, but that doesn't mean every day will be warm and sunny.

That may not sound like a lot, but to weather forecasters, it's definitely enough averaged over an entire month to point toward a trend. In this case the trend is toward slightly to somewhat warmer than normal temperatures.

Related: El Nino's crop benefits could continue into 2016

Even if the warm trend materializes as currently projected, it doesn't mean there won't be a few days to a week or more of colder than normal weather embedded within November. And there could be more than one of these cooler to cold outbreaks within the month, but yet the month still winds up warmer than normal.

Snow is still possible, especially in northern Indiana where snow tends to fall earlier and in heavier amounts. See the section on finding snowfall averages to see what's normal in your area.

Precipitation amounts
There is no clear indication of what rainfall and total precipitation amounts will do in late fall. You can look at NOAA maps and see that neither more nor less than normal precipitation is expected.

It's similar to the glass half-full or half-empty phenomenon.

What the prediction really means is that there was no clear indication either way. Odds of more precipitation than normal, normal amounts and less than normal are equal during the late fall period over Indiana.

Check NOAA's website as the month progresses for updates. Keep the snow shovel handy, just in case.

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