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Feedback From The Field - Oct. 10, 2016

Farmer reports suggest USDA too high on corn, too low on soybeans.

Bryce Knorr 1

October 10, 2016

4 Min Read
A producer in southern Missouri summed up some growers’ attitude in Feedback from the Field comments. “Prepare to be let down on your corn yields.”

Click the large green dots on the interactive map to see yield estimates. Smaller dots represent condition reports from throughout the spring and summer.  Note that the map may need to be refreshed to display all the locations.

While yields posted last week to Feedback From The field remain highly varied to say the least, some trends emerged as the market braces for Wednesday’s official update on production from USDA. Corn yield increased from early results, but remain below the government’s September estimate of 174.4 bpa. Soybean results fared just the opposite, decreasing a little last week but overall coming in higher than USDA’s Sept. 12 estimate of 50.6 bpa.

Even within the same state extreme variances prevailed. A producer in central Iowa northwest of Ford Dodge beset by wet conditions averaged only 98 bpa. But another in the northwest corner of the state came in at 235, about the same as last year. And the farm’s soybeans were eye-popping: “Record bean crop,” according to the grower, who put yields at 79 bpa.

After cutting two fields a producer in southeast North Dakota estimated corn yields at 185 bpa. “There will be people with over 200 bpa farm average,” he said of his part of the state.

To the south on the Plains, not all growers were gushing. A producer near Clay Center, Kansas, put corn yield at 140 bpa.  “This was 30 bu under what yields were estimated to be,” wrote the grower.  “We are hearing some real disappointing yields from the irrigated corn in the area.”

A producer in southern Missouri summed up some growers’ attitude. “Prepare to be let down on your corn yields.”

Click this link to give us your own Feedback on 2016 yields.

Feedback from the Field - Sept. 30, 2016 - Famers report improving yields despite weather woes

Feedback from the Field - Sept. 23, 2016 - Yield variations reflect year of weather extremes

Feedback from the Field - Sept. 16, 2016 - Despite problems, growers report better yields

Feedback from the Field - Sept. 12, 2016 - Growers report concern about corn yields, soybeans look better

Feedback from the Field - Sept. 6, 2016 - Growers report wide range of corn and soybean yields

Feedback from the Field - Aug. 29, 2016 - Growers say crops are good, not great

Feedback from the Field - Aug. 19, 2016 - Growers say crops are good, bad and ugly

Feedback from the Field - Aug. 8, 2016 - Farmers say corn crop looks average, not great

Feedback from the Field - Aug. 3, 2016 - Farmers say don't judge the crop from the road

Feedback from the Field - Aug. 1, 2016 - Growers sound more optimistic about crops

Feedback from the Field - July 25, 2016 - Corn, soybean crops improve despite blast of heat

Feedback from the Field - July 20, 2016 - Heat backs West, but growers in East are worried

Feedback from the Field - July 18, 2016 - Growers report boom or bust conditions ahead of heat wave

Feedback from the Field - July 11, 2016 - Rains help improve corn and soybean conditions as heat wave approaches

Feedback from the Field - June 30, 2016 - Crop conditions ease as corn enters crucial test

Feedback from the Field - June 27, 2016 - Many areas still short of rain

Feedback from the Field - June 17, 2016 - Wheat looks great, but corn and soybeans start to wilt in the heat

Feedback from the Field - June 13, 2016 - Crops off to good start, but need rain

Feedback from the Field - June 8, 2016 - Growers say heat will help some crops, hurt others.

Feedback from the Field - June 6, 2016 - Crops improve, but growers see too much or too little rain

Feedback from the Field - May 31, 2016 - Corn slowly improves ahead of first USDA ratings

Feedback from the Field - May 25, 2016 - Goldilocks spring hard to find in Corn Belt

Feedback from the Field - May 23, 2016 - Corn Belt dries out a little as mid-May deadline arrives

Feedback from the Field - May 18, 2016 - Growers worry about frost damage from weekend's chill

Feedback from the Field - May 14, 2016 - Growers hope to get back into the field

Feedback from the Field - May 13, 2016 - Planting delays grab market's attention

Feedback from the Field - May 11, 2016 - It's deju vu all over again as wet weather continues

Feedback from the Field - May 9, 2016 - Weather challenges farmers in eastern Midwest

Feedback from the Field - May 3, 2016 - Growers say wet weather stalls planting

Feedback from the Field - May 2, 2016 - Some crops off to slow start as wet and cold hamper planting

About the Author(s)

Bryce Knorr 1

Senior Market Analyst, Farm Futures

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