Farm Futures logo

The concept of “carry” refers to a market in which future months are worth more than the current month.

Darren Frye, CEO

March 27, 2019

2 Min Read
maciek905/Thinkstock

I’m relatively new to farming, and I’ve heard people talk about “selling the carry” in the market. But I’m not sure what that means. Would you please explain? — J.S., Illinois

A strong understanding of “selling the carry” can be a great tool in terms of adding value to your crop. I’ll explain just the basics of it here.

Essentially, when you look at the Chicago Board of Trade, you’ll find that the prices for December, March and July corn are all different.

The same is true when you ask the elevator what it’s bidding for corn for December, March or July delivery. All of its bids will include basis, as well, so it’s going to have different cash prices.

The concept of “carry” refers to a market in which future months are worth more than the current month.

Selling the carry means looking at how the farmer can take advantage of that. In a “carry market,” the market is trying to incentivize farmers and the marketplace to store grain. It means the market is basically willing to pay farmers to store grain.

The key point here though, which often gets missed, is that in order to capture the carry, you have to sell the carry.

As an example, let’s say that in March, they’re bidding $3.80 per bushel for corn, and in July, they’re bidding $3.95 per bushel.

At that point, in order to get the 15 cents per bushel that the market is willing to pay you, you have to actually sell it in July. To make that money, you have to hold the grain in your bin and deliver it in July.

To capture the carry, you have to sell the carry that the market is offering you. In markets where we don’t have excess supply, there may not be much carry to sell. But in markets where we do have an abundance of supply, there may be more of an advantage to selling out into the future — or “selling the carry.”

As a farmer, understanding carry and how to use it as a part of your marketing plan can be a useful tool in your grain merchandising toolbox.

Frye is president and CEO of Water Street Solutions. Read his blog, Finance First, online and in the pages of Farm Futures. [email protected]

About the Author(s)

Darren Frye

CEO, Water Street Solutions

Darren Frye grew up on an innovative, integrated Illinois farm. He began trading commodities in 1982 and started his first business in 1987, specializing in fertilizer distribution and crop consulting. In 1994 he started a consulting business, Water Street Solutions to help Midwest farmers become more successful through financial analysis, crop insurance, marketing consulting and legacy planning. The mission of Finance First is to get you to look at spreadsheets and see opportunity, to see your business for what it can be, and to help you build your agricultural legacy.

Visit Water Street Solutions

Subscribe to receive top agriculture news
Be informed daily with these free e-newsletters

You May Also Like