Farm Futures logo

Rain returns as a worry for growers

Bryce Knorr, Contributing market analyst

September 30, 2019

4 Min Read
vectortatu/ThinkstockPhotos

How are your crops faring this year? What are your hopes for yields? We’re asking growers about what’s really happening in their fields. Click the Feedback From The Field reporting form and give us your first-hand account on conditions and yields.

Use the interactive map below to see all this year’s reports just by clicking the flagged locations. Click the box in the upper left-land corner of the map to bring up an index of what the different colors of the markers signify and to toggle the week’s reports on and off.

The 2019 growing season started off historically wet. Now as September comes to a close, more areas are experiencing way too much rain, adding insult to injury.

The northwest quarter of the Midwest and Plains saw above normal precipitation for the month, with some areas of the northern Plains receiving six times the average amount. All the moisture delayed spring wheat harvest, raising concerns about both quality and quantity, sparking a sharp rally by Minneapolis futures.

“Six inches of rain,” wrote a producer from western Minnesota last week on Feedback From The Field. “Wheat that is left in field in very tough shape.”

“Spring wheat is all sprouting in the field,” added a farmer from the border between the Dakotas.

“Wheat crop is garbage,” concluded a northeast Montana grower.

Corn and soybean fields were also impacted by precipitation, both too much and too little.

“Everything is very late due to extremely wet weather, many drowned out spots, not many hot days and too cool nights,” summed up a producer from western Illinois.

“Very wet fields,” was the report from southeastern Nebraska, which received heavy rains the previous weekend. “May be tough to get in fields, no harvest yet.”

Damp conditions caused issues with both corn and soybeans, from white mold in central Minnesota to lodging in western Iowa.

But not all parts of the growing region are wet. Most of the eastern third of the U.S. has below normal soil moisture.

“Very dry,” noted a grower in northeast Indiana. “Double crop beans are extremely stressed.”

“Extremely dry,” added another producer southeast of Indianapolis. “Late corn will be 120-140 bushels per acre.”

Despite the problems, ratings from farmers actually improved last week. Yield estimates are also moving higher. Average corn yields of 163.4 bushels per acre are still five bpa below USDA’s Sept. 12 estimate, but the soybean yield of 48.1 bpa is slightly higher than the government’s last estimate. Some producers are still optimistic if weather stabilizes for the rest of the growing season with no damaging frost.

“Early green snap across our area is about the only yield limit factor on irrigated corn,” said a farmer from western Nebraska. “Dryland corn and soybeans are coming in 25-35% above normal yields.”

Follow along with the season by clicking these links:

Feedback From The Field - Sept. 23, 2019 - Farmers report boom or bust yields after challenging year

Feedback from the Field - Sept. 16, 2019 - Adverse weather pushes down yield estimates

Feedback from the Field - Sept. 9, 2019 - Crops improve despite slow development and stress

Feedback from the Field - Sept. 3, 2019 - Crops improve despite slow development and stress

Feedback from the Field - Aug. 19, 2019 - Crops improve but yields lag

Feedback from the Field - Aug. 12, 2019 - Yields are here, there and everywhere 

Feedback From The Field - Aug. 5, 2019 - Farmers worry that yields aren’t there

Feedback from the Field - July 29, 2019 - Crops improve after heat breaks

Feedback from the Field - July 22, 2019 - Blazing heat wilts crops

Feedback from the Field - July 15, 2019 - Hot, dry week stresses soybeans

Feedback from the Field - July 8, 2019 - Crops improve but development lags on late planting

Feedback From The Field - July 1, 2019 - Crops improve but development lags on late planting

Feedback From The Field - June 24, 2019 - Planting woes aren’t only worry for growers

Feedback From The Field - June 17, 2019 - Acres lost to corn prevent plant mount

Feedback from the Field - June 10, 2019 - Judgement time: Take prevent plant or keep going?

Feedback from the Field - June 3, 2019 - Corn planting deadlines pass as farmers ponder what to do

Feedback from the Field - May 28, 2019 - Growers make progress, but at what cost?

Feedback from the Field - May 20, 2019 - Warm, dry week gets growers in the field as crucial benchmarks arrive

Feedback from the Field - May 13, 2019 - Wet is the word for 2019.

Feedback From the Field - May 6, 2019 - Some farmers in western areas make progress but overall planting remains slow.

Feedback From the Field - April 29, 2019 - Farmers in eastern Corn Belt and upper Midwest face delays.

Feedback From the Field - April 22, 2019 - A few wheels turned but most of the Corn Belt is too wet.

About the Author(s)

Bryce Knorr

Contributing market analyst, Farm Futures

Bryce Knorr first joined Farm Futures Magazine in 1987. In addition to analyzing and writing about the commodity markets, he is a former futures introducing broker and Commodity Trading Advisor. A journalist with more than 45 years of experience, he received the Master Writers Award from the American Agricultural Editors Association.

Subscribe to receive top agriculture news
Be informed daily with these free e-newsletters

You May Also Like