Farm Progress

Corn traders continue to debate U.S. weather, including past, present and future.

Kevin Van Trump, Founder

June 13, 2017

2 Min Read

Corn traders continue to debate U.S. weather, including past, present and future. Many bulls argue that extreme conditions have caused complications in many important growing regions. Conditions in South Dakota fell by -17% last week and are now -27% worse than last year. Conditions in Indiana -29% worse than last year; North Dakota -28% worse; Illinois -17% worse; Ohio -15% worse; Wisconsin -15% worse; Missouri -13% worse; Kansas -5% worse; Iowa -3% worse. Throw on top talk from agronomist in many areas sighting leaves "rolling" early into the high winds and abnormal heat. Meaning plant development has perhaps slowed and adding leaves could be more difficult. The bears argue that the dry conditions my actually help the plant in some locations as the roots will have to move deeper searching for water, ultimately helping to strengthen the plant. The bears also believe the crop is going to get a couple of very good drinks prior to pollination.  U.S. weather remains all the talk... Below are some additional thoughts regarding crop conditions. GET ALL MY DAILY AG THOUGHTS HERE.....    

Corn Conditions: The USDA slightly adjusted crop-conditions lower by -1% to 67% rated "Good-to-Excellent". From my perspective, I see the "Worse Than" group being much more impactful than the "Better Than" group. Hence even more reason to believe the U.S. yield needs to be worked lower. Below are this years conditions compared to last year:

State Conditions "Better Than" Last Year

·  Pennsylvania +18% better than last year...+2% this week to 84% GD/EX 

·  Kentucky +16% better than last year... +3% this week to 85% GD/EX 

·  Colorado +12% better than last year... +10 this week to 93% GD/EX

·  Tennessee +5% better than last year... +0% this week to 83% GD/EX

·  Texas +2% better than last year... -3% this week to 76% GD/EX

·  Nebraska +1% better than last year... -1% this week to 78% GD/EX

·  North Carolina +1% better than last year... -2% this week to 75% GD/EX

·  Michigan same as last year... -1% this week to 69% GD/EX

·  Minnesota same as last year... +1% this week to 78% GD/EX

State Conditions "Worse Than" Last Year 

·  Indiana -29% worse than last year... -2 this week to 44% GD/EX

·  North Dakota -28% worse than last year... -9% this week to 58% GD/EX 

·  South Dakota -27% worse than last year... -17% this week to 45% GD/EX

·  Illinois -17% worse than last year -1% this week to 58% GD/EX

·  Ohio -15% worse than last year... +1% this week to 50% GD/EX

·  Wisconsin -15% worse than last year... +2% this week to 70% GD/EX

·  Missouri -13% worse than last year... +0% this week to 59% GD/EX

·  Kansas -5% worse than last year... +4% this week to 65% GD/EX 

·  Iowa -3% worse than last year... +0% this week to 77%GD/EX

About the Author(s)

Kevin Van Trump

Founder, Farmdirection.com

Kevin is a leading expert in Agricultural marketing and analysis, he also produces an award-winning and world-recognized daily industry Ag wire called "The Van Trump Report." With over 20 years of experience trading professionally at the CME, CBOT and KCBOT, Kevin is able to 'connect-the-dots' and simplify the complex moving parts associated with today's markets in a thought provoking yet easy to read format. With thousands of daily readers in over 40 countries, Kevin has become a sought after source for market direction, timing and macro views associated with the agricultural world. Kevin is a top featured guest on many farm radio programs and business news channels here in the United States. He also speaks internationally to hedge fund managers and industry leading agricultural executives about current market conditions and 'black swan' forecasting. Kevin is currently the acting Chairman of Farm Direction, an international organization assembled to bring the finest and most current agricultural thoughts and strategies directly to the world's top producers. The markets have dramatically changed and Kevin is trying to redefine how those in the agricultural world can better manage their risk and better understand the adversity that lies ahead. 

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