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Do you suffer from marketing FOMO?Do you suffer from marketing FOMO?

Ag Marketing IQ: Take these three steps to put an effective grain marketing plan in place – and reduce doubt when it’s time to sell.

Tyler Schau, Hedging strategist

December 9, 2024

4 Min Read
Bull vs. bear market indicating unknown commodity price direction.
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One of my favorite times of the year is early December. It has nothing to do with the weather or the holidays, but the fact that the National Finals Rodeo begins in Las Vegas.

It’s the only time of the year I go to Las Vegas, so I’m not sure what it looks like the rest of the year. During the NFR the strip is a sea of cowboy hats and shiny lights in the desert. Several years ago, the NFR and Las Vegas Events ran TV commercials focusing on “FOMO,” or fear of missing out. In essence they were trying to encourage fans to attend the rodeo in person, so they wouldn’t miss out on all of the action. I was reminded of these commercials during a conversation with a farmer the other night when he told me he struggles making sales during rallies, because “what if prices go higher?” That farmer has FOMO!

This fear is not unique to farmers and ranchers. It is a human response many of us have. It perpetuates itself in agricultural marketing because a producer has the option to make sales every single day. That translates into about 365 days a year where a decision leads to FOMO. So, what strategies exist to help farmers and ranchers reduce the anxiety that comes with marketing their products?

Turn to a marketing plan

The best way to avoid being held hostage by FOMO is to create a marketing plan.

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I’m sure many of you have been to a marketing meeting or a conference where you were told that you needed a marketing plan. You may have even been to one where a speaker gave you steps to develop the plan. But have you sat down and created your plan?

While it can be simple, that doesn’t mean it is easy. Often times the creation of the plan leads to more questions. That isn’t necessarily bad. Here is the thing about a plan: It doesn’t have to be perfect. It does need to be put into action, and it should be written.

Here are a few key tenets of an effective marketing plan:

  1. Break the crop into chunks and make incremental sales. This helps ease FOMO tension when we begin making sales since we know that if prices do continue to increase, we will be able to sell the next increment at a higher price. If prices decline from this point, at least we made some sales. It also becomes mentally easier to make additional sales after we crack open the bin.

  2. Work orders to sell cash, basis or futures.  You can also place orders with your broker to buy options and option spreads. Orders fill when targets are reached. Leave it to memory and thoughts tend to flutter in the mind and may not get acted on.

  3. Plan sales ahead of time to meet cash flow needs. The saying cash is king is not a cliché. It’s the truth. So don’t wait until you need cash, plan for those shortfalls and market early and ahead of time.

Related:Accept this gift from USDA

The marketing plan does not need to be fancy or written by a PhD. It does need to be clear, concise. Most importantly, you must act on it.

The decision to do nothing is still a decision and it is often a bad one!

By creating a plan, you can reduce that uneasy feeling when FOMO starts to set in, and you will make the decision to sell according to your plan.

Now, I need to catch my flight to Vegas. I don’t want to miss anything!

For more information, please contact Tyler Schau at 701-987-6009 or anyone on the AgMarket.Net team at 844-4-AG-MRKT.

The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. AgMarket.Net is the Farm Division of John Stewart and Associates (JSA) based out of St Joe, MO and all futures and options trades are cleared through RJO’Brien in Chicago IL. This material has been prepared by an agent of JSA or a third party and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. By accepting this communication, you agree that you are an experienced user of the futures markets, capable of making independent trading decisions, and agree that you are not, and will not, rely solely on this communication in making trading decisions. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. Trading information and advice is based on information taken from 3rd party sources that are believed to be reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. The services provided by JSA may not be available in all jurisdictions. It is possible that the country in which you are a resident prohibits us from opening and maintaining an account for you.

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About the Author

Tyler Schau

Hedging strategist, AgMarket.Net

Tyler Schau joined AgMarket.Net, the farm division of John Stewart & Associates, as a hedging strategist in 2021. He was previously at Kluis Commodity Advisors. Tyler earned his B.S. degree in Agricultural Business and his M.S. degree in Agricultural Education from Iowa State University. In 2009, his family moved to Almont, ND where he became the agricultural economics instructor and the Farm and Ranch Management degree advisor at Bismarck State College. His teaching focused on risk management for producers.

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