Farm Progress is part of the Informa Markets Division of Informa PLC

This site is operated by a business or businesses owned by Informa PLC and all copyright resides with them. Informa PLC's registered office is 5 Howick Place, London SW1P 1WG. Registered in England and Wales. Number 8860726.

Are you thinking about 2014 fertilizer?

Are you thinking about 2014 fertilizer?

Fertilizer costs continue to backpedal. In case you haven't been tracking, nitrogen prices are back at levels we haven't seen in 3-4 years. Urea, potash, anhydrous UAN, DAP, MAP all aggressively lower. Phosphorus is down but not down as significantly.

The question most producers are asking is how much lower will fertilizer prices go? In my opinion, there is still some room to the downside, but upside risk seems much more dangerous than downside potential. With this in mind, I believe we are quickly approaching an area where we need to be thinking about locking in our 2014 needs, especially in the case of nitrogens and phosphates. In fact, you may want to start making some calls and putting together bids ASAP.

With 2014 crop prices bringing along many unknowns, I hate like hell to let these good input prices slip away. Harvest pressure may prompt a further push to the downside, but lets not get overly greedy trying to pick the exact bottom. Be smart, if you haven't been tracking and or monitoring next year's fertilizer prices, then do so immediately. I think we are going to get a 30-45 day window were we need to be pulling the trigger.

Click to receive my daily report.

Hide comments


  • Allowed HTML tags: <em> <strong> <blockquote> <br> <p>

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.